Hi, Folks Whilst taking a DVD course on complex systems today I had a BFO. Well, maybe not so O since I knew about the elements of it a long time but failed to...
Larry, What about Dave Snowden and the Cynefin Framework? Maybe Steve Holt can elaborate. Clare. ... From: lawrence_leach To: CriticalChain@yahoogroups.com ...
Hi, Clare Yes, that's part of what I was referring to in having this around for a long time. This theory matches Snowden's model. Normal distributions result...
Hello Larry, Clare My understanding is that Dave Snowden's proposes that most aspects of projects (problems and solutions) are in the ordered and complicated ...
Hi, Robert It seems to me that perception depends on ones project domain. It is so easy to assume the rest of the world must be similar to what you have...
Iım jumping in late here, so Iıll probably hit on multiple comments. Larry-I think your assessment in the most recent note is right on target. Relatively...
Steve, I have been combining some form of Kanban for the execution environment and CCPM for project planning for over a decade. My earliest post on that on...
Hello Larry The only point but a simple, essential and fundamental one I tried to convey is that in the Cynefin framework it is not a question for a specific...
Hi, Robert Let's deal with the last first. David Snowden doesn't have to defend anything. He is a brilliant guy who adds much. That doesn't means he knows...
Hi, Tony I should add a little more general formulation adds a constant and might also observe that k usually negative; f(x) = A + M * x^k The key is that the...
Larry, I want to comment on one part of your note. You said, ³Should one think differently about TOC from the perspective of complex systems? Definitions of...
Hi, Steve I agree. Understanding this should make it clear that multipage FRTs are at best fantasies. No one can ever determine much less validate the...
I actually can see a value in even large FRTs since they are models of what might happen. In that sense they will follow what George Box (I think) said, ³All...
Umm. Make that coping with reality. The whole point is that copying reality is pretty difficult. :-) Steve Holt ... of ... out ... plan ... way ... defend ... ...
Hi, Steve Yes. The problem with complex systems is that sometimes the only model that could predict is the system itself. We cannot get away from models. Any...
Steve Rather than build verification steps into each step in the FRT, Dettmer' Strategic Navigation approach suggests wrapping the enitre thing in an OODA...
Hi, Mike The OODA loop is a way to deal with complex systems dynamically. Bill relates the FRT model to the loop. In my view this merges Deming/Shewhart's PDCA...
Hi, Folks I continue to think about this on my morning walks with my dog. My dog is very happy about that because we go longer and I don't bug him whilst...
Hi, Steve Ron sent me the paper by Bill Dettmer that relates to this topic. Can you post the link to it? It is a fabulous paper. It desribes Cynefin very well...
Hi, Folks The paper Steve provided shows clear evidence Bill is now thinking about the complex domain. I bet we see more of it in his next book! Regards, Larry...
Hi, Folks In an off list correspondence one of our group members pointed out an interesting observation. He is tracking many projects with a Kanban board. He...
Hi, Folks The lecture on self-organized criticality made another intereting point: "as the world becomes more connected and more interdependent, we may be more...
... This is an interaction-effect, between the large projects and the small ones. Large projects tend to have multiple tasks that last considerably longer...
Hi, Tony Regarding first paragraph: good observation. It can certainly be a factor...especially if people follow my advice to size tasks within a range of the...
Did you mean to say Ron or Steve because otherwise Iım going to say that I donıt remember providing a paper on anything! Steve Holt ... that ... plan ... a...
Mike You wrote: "Rather than build verification steps into each step in the FRT, Dettmer' Strategic Navigation approach suggests wrapping the enitre thing in...
Larry, My second statement refers to large projects that share resources with each other, within the same system. Nevertheless, all the additional factors that...
Hi, Steve There was some confusion on the paper. Bill isn't ready to release it yet. I'll let the group know when he has done so. Ron did send me your Cynefin...
