This is how it all began! In ancient Israel, it came to pass that a trader by the name of Abraham Com did take unto himself a young wife by the name of Dot. ...
14412
Hossein
hossein_t94
Dec 4, 2011 8:02 am
Dear all Hi Thank you so much for your good discussions. It is my pleasure that i am in this useful group. I am looking for the best software that support...
14413
Paulo Sérgio
paulosmpgp13
Dec 4, 2011 9:16 am
Hi I´m interested in last advances in CCPM area. What is new in its use. New experiences, new applications, problems found. Basic i´d like to obtain ...
14414
Paulo Sérgio
paulosmpgp13
Dec 4, 2011 9:20 am
Hi all, sorry i have send the message without finishing it. Thanks to all of you that help to mantain CCPM alive. Paulo ... [Non-text portions of this message...
14415
Santiago Velasquez Ma...
ifsavel
Dec 5, 2011 7:37 pm
Following up on the link sent of the "divided mind", I found the excellent TED Talk by Sir Ken Robinson on "Paradigms in Education", also in an animated format...
14416
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 5, 2011 7:45 pm
Hi All, This is the season for gifts. If anybody is interested in doing Monte Carlo simulation of a project with at most 100 tasks, I can freely offer a simple...
14417
lawrence_leach
Dec 6, 2011 4:38 am
Hi, Prasad Nice offer! A couple of questions: 1. Can it be used to size buffers? 2. Can it be initiated with an export from MS Project? Regards, Larry Leach...
14418
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 6, 2011 5:30 am
Hi Larry, I guess the size of project buffer can be determined with the help of the mean and standard deviation of project duration. I have sent the Excel file...
14419
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 7, 2011 12:48 am
Hi Larry and others, I may be getting some stupid doubts about CC while working on Monte Carlo simulations of project. Consider a simple project with a single...
14420
Rob Newbold
robertnewbold
Dec 7, 2011 4:51 pm
Prasad - I don't think they're stupid doubts. But I would make a few practical points. First, I've never used or recommended the "cut pessimistic task times in...
14421
lawrence_leach
Dec 7, 2011 5:06 pm
Hi, Prasad CC is a practical approach to reality. In fact almost nobody has a clue as to what the real distributions are for the tasks put into a schedule....
14422
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 7, 2011 5:41 pm
Hi Rob, Thanks for a very informative reply. I am glad to know that there are some effective methods for buffer sizing other than the popular one. The total...
14423
Alexander Kriegisch
kriegaex
Dec 7, 2011 6:48 pm
... That they look down upon MC does not necessarily mean they are right. A quotation attributed to Bertrand Russell (famous logician and mathematician) says:...
14424
Santiago Velasquez Ma...
ifsavel
Dec 7, 2011 10:05 pm
Bob Lewis from InfoWorld talks about a SAP implementation at Daiwa, using the CCPM methodology, and the 6 main lessons learned. http://bit.ly/rYLmJP Also, from...
14425
Santiago Velasquez Ma...
ifsavel
Dec 7, 2011 10:15 pm
Yuval Yeret comments about the "synergies" between Kanban, Agile and CCPM. Interesting read. http://bit.ly/tzXyxY [Non-text portions of this message have been...
14426
lawrence_leach
Dec 8, 2011 3:15 am
LOL I can just imagine what they'd have to say about cc. Regards, Larry Leach...
14427
Rob Newbold
robertnewbold
Dec 8, 2011 7:17 pm
Prasad - Thanks. I'm not sure my comment on "correlations between tasks" fits into either (1) or (2). If (for example) two sequential tasks are interdependent,...
14428
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 8, 2011 7:35 pm
Hi Rob, Since the source of correlation is the variability of task durations, I would include it in the first component of variation. The correlations vanish...
14429
lawrence_leach
Dec 9, 2011 12:55 am
Hi, Prasad Determnistic task durations aren't a problem because there is no such thing as a deterministic task duration. The sophisticated Monte Carlo analysis...
14430
Vladimir
v_liberzon
Dec 9, 2011 9:21 am
Hi Prasad, I had thought that you know about Spider Project. It really perform simulation of resource-constrained workflow of projects. About proper buffer...
14431
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 9, 2011 12:38 pm
Hi Vladimir, Thanks for your reminder about SD Project. I am aware that it deals with resource constraints and some stochastic elements but I do not know until...
14432
Vladimir
v_liberzon
Dec 9, 2011 1:24 pm
Prasad, there are funny things with project risk simulation with limited resources. Oracle suggests project management software (P6) and risk simulation...
14433
Mike Bowles
mikeorjim2003
Dec 9, 2011 2:08 pm
Prasad I don't know whether I can do justice to your query but I believe that your question has merit and points to a major problem in how TOC applications...
14434
Rob Newbold
robertnewbold
Dec 9, 2011 2:57 pm
Prasad, Larry - I've heard different approaches to dealing with the interactions among tasks with Monte Carlo simulation. You can represent them in some...
14435
Vladimir
v_liberzon
Dec 9, 2011 4:13 pm
Rob, MC as it was realised in most packages has a lot of weaknesses. And what is most dangerous - its application creates an illusion of accuracy. That is why...
14436
lawrence_leach
Dec 9, 2011 5:34 pm
Hi, Prasad PertMaster is the premier project management Monte Carlo tool. Primavera bought them out several years ago so it may now be an add-on to Primavera. ...
14437
lawrence_leach
Dec 9, 2011 5:38 pm
Hi, Vladimir Yes, your second sentence makes the point I was suggesting quite well. Thank you. I know a lot of people have trouble assimiliting this but time...
14438
Prasad Velaga
prasad_velag...
Dec 10, 2011 2:49 pm
Hi Larry, Thanks for the information about PertMaster and Palasides' @Risk. You said, "Both can account for limited resources during the execution...
14439
Santiago Velasquez Ma...
ifsavel
Dec 10, 2011 3:54 pm
I recently read Bill Dettmer's article about about Cynefin and Continuous improvement approaches, and as usual with his writings, it was very good. The big...
14440
Clarence Maday
cjmaday
Dec 10, 2011 6:57 pm
Santiago, As you may know, the Cynefin Framework is based on (derived from?) Boyd's OODA Loop Strategy. Dettmer gives a brief description in Strategic...
