Hi, I've done some looking and web searching looking for the answer to my critical chain questions to no avail, so I'm hoping someone here can answer or point...
202
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 13, 2001 4:11 pm
... Good question, since in most CC implementations, there is no basis in experience for pulling together such estimates. (By the way, I stay away from numbers...
203
Wilson Kaser
wkaser@...
Aug 13, 2001 4:31 pm
50% probability estimate is one that makes the estimator feel slightly uncormfortable about being able to compete in that amount of time. If, in your mind it's...
204
"Zimmer, Márton"
MZimmer@...
Aug 14, 2001 12:33 pm
Hi there all, isn't it make sense to announce that CC estimates should be kept with about 50% percent probability (i.e.: half of the tasks finish within -- and...
205
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 14, 2001 2:13 pm
... That's the theory. In practice, knowing what is 50% confidence is a guess at best. As long as most of the safety is removed -- resources are uncomfortable...
206
lockwoo@...
Aug 15, 2001 1:34 pm
An open mind also means the ability to think and analyze. Just because my neighbor believes in something doesn't mean I have a closed mind if I don't concur. ...
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Wilson Kaser
wkaser@...
Aug 15, 2001 2:09 pm
Study Robust Design technigues, then you will better understand variability. Every process has variability, correct? How do you design anything in the face of...
208
Smith, Doug
doug.smith@...
Aug 15, 2001 6:45 pm
I'm no expert on Critical-Chain (here to listen, mostly), but it seems to me that you've focused too narrowly on one aspect of CC. The 'fudge-factor' is ...
209
Ajay Puria
a_puria@...
Aug 16, 2001 5:19 am
Hello Frank, A lil' curious, you mentioned ... not >what they should be. Could you elaborate a further into risk management and CCPM. ( I believe you even...
210
Ajay Puria
a_puria@...
Aug 16, 2001 5:19 am
Hello Frank, A lil' curious, you mentioned ... not >what they should be. Could you elaborate a further into risk management and CCPM. ( I believe you even...
211
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 16, 2001 12:40 pm
... Not justify them . . . merely use the fudge that is typically spread around a project in a more effective manner so that less is needed to protect project...
212
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 16, 2001 12:40 pm
... For someone who started his post with . . . ... . . . this is a key insight. When asked about the difference between a critical path and a critical chain,...
213
Douglas M. Brown
padgettbrown@...
Aug 16, 2001 12:41 pm
I rather like Marton's idea of weighting the estimator's tendencies. But my experience has been that the hard part is getting people to commit to a duration --...
214
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 16, 2001 1:34 pm
... That's the point. The difficulty to get commitment is what leads to bloated (safe) estimates in a world full of uncertainty. (Then all that safety gets ...
215
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 16, 2001 7:04 pm
... Not yet - the paper is schedule for the risk management track of PMI's big symposium in Nashville the first week of November. I hope if anyone on this list...
216
lockwoo@...
Aug 19, 2001 2:40 pm
Let me address one issue at a time. First and foremost: wouldn't it be a more desireable goal to eliminate the fudge-factor? What you are doing is building...
217
lockwoo@...
Aug 19, 2001 2:43 pm
... We will need to get into a philosophical discussion as to WHY the fudge is there and how we can work toward minimizing it, rather than just moving the...
218
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 20, 2001 3:37 pm
... Safety (As I have in the past decided to stop using the word "padding," I also refuse to further use the word "fudge," as it is way too disrespectful of...
219
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 20, 2001 3:37 pm
... Huh??? Sorry, but I can not comply with this. There is not too much, but still enough new vocabulary in Critical Chain that drives me to avoid muddying the...
220
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 20, 2001 3:37 pm
... I'm not sure about that. It depends on the circumstance and situation. I know if I'm going to a new client's office (or an interview back when I was in the...
221
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 20, 2001 3:38 pm
At 5:44 AM +0000 8/18/01, lockwoo@... wrote: Quoting FP . . . ... I can live with your sense of contradiction. If the goal is to keep a due date...
222
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 20, 2001 3:38 pm
... If by "fudge-factor," you mean buffer, no, because it is the system of buffers in a Critical Chain schedule that allows a project to make realistic...
223
Douglas M. Brown
padgettbrown@...
Aug 21, 2001 1:05 pm
It's not inefficiency. It's the fact that every household does not have 2.4 members in it. What you are doing is forcing the natural inclination to give a...
224
Santosh Prem
sprem@...
Aug 22, 2001 8:14 am
Found this tit-bit of info which has some relevence: "Do one thing at a time Your phone is ringing, your e-mail inbox is full of mails screaming for your ...
225
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 22, 2001 1:26 pm
... "One of the surprises?" Duuuh!!! I love it when academics lay claim to common sense in the name of "research." When you're working on A, B is idle. If you...
226
loren@...
Aug 23, 2001 11:00 am
Hi Frank. This is my first post to the group and I think I may have a situation that may apply to your question. I have been investigating implementing...
227
martin.wartenberg@...
Aug 24, 2001 3:32 am
Loren, At the risk of getting into trouble with some of the more devoted followers of Critical Chain, I agree that your approach to software development, which...
228
Ajay Puria
a_puria@...
Aug 24, 2001 12:22 pm
... burst is a short period of a 3-5 days where the work that was done is documented, code is cleaned up, An intergrated effort, need to understand resource ...
229
Frank Patrick
fpatrick@...
Aug 24, 2001 8:51 pm
... People may have noticed that I haven't jumped in with an immediate response. The question of software processes like Loren's has been rattling around in my...
230
kelker.prashant@...
Aug 27, 2001 1:22 pm
Hi, I lead a team of 20 - which are in turn led by 4 subordinate team leadrs. This gives me an opportunity to try Multi-project CChain on a smaller scale. We...
