... You might find a local source of info to be of help. There's a professor that I know that might be able to help you in your own language... Rong-Kwei Li ...
950
mbr@...
Aug 3, 2003 5:53 pm
Hi everyone: I would like to contribute a little bit with the good definitions that Frank gave us. First, I agree completely with those definitions... because ...
08/06/2003 -- I've just blogged a commentary on the "Project Uncertainty Principle" that members of this list might find amusing... ...
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Christian Walenta
walenta@...
Aug 6, 2003 7:34 pm
I will be out of the office starting August 6, 2003 and will not return until August 25, 2003. I will respond to your mail upon return on 8/25. In urgent...
... wrote: 08/06/2003 -- I've just blogged a commentary on the "Project Uncertainty Principle" that members of this list might find amusing... You could...
Not much movement on this topic. To Eugene Kania's point, I completely
understand that "it depends" on how the organization intends to use the
software. But...
Sciforma has added some buffer management functionality in its latest release. The system will dynamically calculate the buffer status based on the number of...
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Christian Walenta
walenta@...
Sep 12, 2003 2:01 pm
I will be out of the office starting September 7, 2003 and will not return until September 15, 2003. I will respond to your mail upon return on 8/25. In urgent...
Dann I suggest that you do periodic Monte Carlo simulations with Arena or Simul8. You can get a better estimate of your buffer requirements in real time or...
I have used Monte Carlo simulation to determine the probablility of a project completing on a particular date, but I don't know how it plays into determining...
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Matías Birrell
mbr@...
Sep 12, 2003 4:27 pm
Hi Dann, If you schedule the tasks with the median and use a distribution for each, you will have a range of scenarios of probable completions. So, summing up...
Try adding a project buffer of some length and run a simulation to determine the probability of finishing by the end of the buffer. Then change the length of...
I think I am a little confused as to why the project buffer size is being
recalculated. Shouldn't the project buffer simply remain at 20 days? On
the other...
Thanks to all for the information on using Monte Carlo simulation to estimate buffer length. It's something I hope I can incorporate into my planning process...
And finally I see the light! Jack, you explained very clearly what I am trying to achieve and (I think) what the Sciforma software does, if you allow it to...
I believe this to be an extremely useful feature. In fact, I use a user-defined formula of Protection Ratio = Buffer Remaining / Buffer Duration Guide. A...
Can you expand on this a bit more? How does it give the right signals more often? And do you use it for both feeder buffers and for the project buffer? In the...
I used to consider two different cases which lead to different qualification : (1) case of highly riskful project, when even after applying skilfully a risk...
Dann: It gives us the right signals more often, as it takes into account more information about the state of the chains feeding each buffer, than most other...
Are you going to PMI's big show in Baltimore? I'll be there between September 21 and 24th, and would be willing to serve as coordinator for a gathering of...
And I think I am seeing the light too. I take it that "dynamic buffer calculations" from the SciForma point of view is a way of helping the team understand...
The buffer size does not change in Sciforma, unless you go back to the planning mode, and re-plan the remaining work in the project. The Buffer Duration Guide...
Jack, thanks for sharing how Concerto calculates buffer color. You obviously have made a serious commitment to Critical Chain PM. What type of projects are you...
Hello Group: A part of the project's network depends on the deliverables of some predecessors, only at that point a choice can be made, for example: either we...
Hi! 1. Layout the network both ways to understand the time impact of either direction. 2. If engineering is the constraint, determine the impact of purchasing...
Hi Gene, I have been doing point 1, developed both networks, about point 2, engineering is the drum, but it has enough capacity, most of the decissions of...
Hi! I'm a bit surprised that you say "engineering is the drum, but it has enough capacity". But, let's just accept that for now. Why don't you plan the project...
