Storm Clouds, trip wires:
Besides the Fallujah operation there are other possible trip wires.
Irans developement of nuclear weapons, will be different than the
course of events in N.Korea. We seem to have allowed them to develope
a nuclear weapon, as evidenced by our screen of anti-missle systems
deployed between N. Korea and the West coast.
In Iran I doubt Israel will sit by and not act allowing Iran to
develope WMD. And that raises the questions of asymmetric counter
attack. if Israel gets the timing wrong, they risk a Nuclear attack
from Iran.
And I would assume Iran already has back channels in place with Al
Qadai. And it would not be outside Irans interests to give them a
WMD, IF IRAN WERE ATTACKED.
The one convincing piece of evidenced for me, of Irans collusion with
Al Qadai has been and continues to be no TERRORIST ATTACKS IN IRAN,
zero, none, nada.
N. Korea remains a wild card, although they heretofore have not shown
any ability to mount terrorist attacks outside SE Asia, they could
partner up with Al Qadai.
The other piece of nervousness is the old man of Palestine, Arafat.
Tehy seem to be keeping his Body alive, till palestine can work out
something to prevent the approaching civil war, as the power
struggle comences. A big question is the billion of dollars he has in
banks, and
who it belongs to, his wife or palestine.
So far the Islamic press has kept out of this, there are so many ways
for this to spin.
The paradigm as it is developing is they are working out "DEALS" ON
HOW TO SPLIT THE POWER. Al Qadai is waiting to see how they can make
this anti-israel and anti-America, assassination by poison has NOT
been mentioned, the potential for this to be very volatile continues.
For these reasons our alert system remains on "Eminent"
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Gerald